This article will be much less complicated than the NFL mock draft articles from earlier this year, since those involved several guys and this only involves one. There isn’t much doubt that Reggie Jackson will be drafted on Thursday (then again, I think we were unanimous in thinking Mark Herzlich would get drafted as well, but I don’t think lightning will strike BC athletics twice this year). There are only sixty spots up for grabs, but which one will belong to Boston College’s Mr. October?
NBADraft.net Consensus Round 2, Overall Pick 42: Indiana Pacers
DraftExpress Round 2, Overall Pick 31: Miami Heat
NBA Draft Insider Round 1, Overall Pick 26: Dallas Mavericks
WalterFootball Round 2, Overall Pick 31: Miami Heat
Sports Illustrated: Sam Amick Round 1, Overall Pick 25: Boston Celtics
DraftSite Round 2, Overall Pick 33: Detroit Pistons**
MyNBADraft Round 2, Overall Pick 31: Miami Heat
Hoops Addict Round 1, Overall Pick 27: New Jersey Nets
HoopsWorld Round 2, Overall Pick 31: Miami Heat
NBA-Draft.com Round 1, Overall Pick 27: New Jersey Nets
**DraftSite is interesting because in addition to forecasting the two rounds of the draft, they project out how the draft would look if it went to four rounds instead of just two. The reason I mention it is because in their mental gymnastics game, they would have Joe Trapani going as a late fourth-rounder to Portland.
A numbers-based analysis of the mock drafts I selected for this article:
• Mock drafts: 10
• Mock drafts in which Reggie Jackson was selected: 10 (100%)
• Mock drafts in which Reggie Jackson was selected in Round 1: 4 (40%)
• Mock drafts in which Reggie Jackson was selected in Round 2: 6 (60%)
• Reggie Jackson’s highest overall pick: 25 (Boston Celtics; SI: Sam Amick)
• Reggie Jackson’s lowest overall pick: 42 (Indiana Pacers; NBADraft.net)
• Reggie Jackson’s most common pick: 31 (Miami Heat; 4 mock drafts/40%)
• Reggie Jackson’s mean (average) pick: 30.4 (Near round 1-2 borderline)
Based on what I’ve seen, I’m not going to say that there is a high likelihood that Reggie Jackson will join the Fightin’ LeBrons: only that a plurality of bloggers believe it to be the case. I’m on the record as saying that I don’t take in much of the NBA at all, so I’ll defer to their judgment. Aside from that, there was a great variety of answers from the mock drafters on where Reggie will end up, from Boston to Indiana to the defending champions in Dallas.
Using all of the “evidence,” if one can call it that, which I’ve compiled, I will set the Reggie Range™ at picks 26 to 34. This means that I expect him to go somewhere either very late in the first round or very early in the second. No surprises, no drama, no frustration like on April 30, just Reggie getting his just reward for three solid years at Boston College. As far as my accuracy, all I can say is watch on Thursday night and we’ll all find out together.